Tuesday, May 10, 2011

Belmont 11th May Selections

A big 9 race card at Belmont today and whats looks a good day for betting with some competitive racing.

Interesting despite the comment the cutaway would not be needed this season as the Belmont course was in terrific shape it is already in use with the rail at 12m - so I expect nothing has really changed and it was just a bit of media hoo haa.

There a few horses racing today who are likely to be well under the odds on what I have assessed today - namely Andraczke (r3) and Izademon (r5). They both come in after good wins but meet much tougher fields for mine. If I was a bookie I would certainly be taking them on.


Selections

Race 1 :
9. Foxy Commander 7. Quadroplex 10. Bell's Honour
Race 2 : 5. Rubitrove 7. Never Easy 3. Answers Are
Race 3 : 5. Snowshoes 11. Rouge Dior 1. Andraczke
Race 4 : 2. Modern Art 4. Alls Good 3. Idiocity
Race 5 : 2. Goose 3. Super Hawk 1. Izademon
Race 6 : 8. Talent Show 4. Merimbula 14. Mirrannon
Race 7 : 1. Shawaim 5. Private O'Dea 7. Robinho
Race 8 : 7. Catch Dat Kat 1. Comme Ci 9. Isabella Maree
Race 9 : 2. Mineours Luck 6. Westriver Kevydonn 5. Triple Ken

Best Bet : Snowshoes
Best each Way : Shawaim
Jockey Challenge : Hayley Diener
Quaddie : 4.8.11.14**1.3.5.7**1.7.8.9.10.11.12**2.5.6.14.18 - 10% Flexi $56

The Jockey Challenge today is very interesting and some big moves have already occurred in betting.

Turner $21 into $10 ($21 was ridiculous really and a shame I missed it)
Any Other $10 into $8 (also was overs)
Yuill $4.60 into $4.20 (big unders but must have some supporters)


My Prices are

Jockey Challenge
Name *Rides Price
HDiener (3.0) 6 $3.4
WPike 6 $5.2
Any Other na $8.0
PKnuckey 5 $8.5
KYuill (1.5) 5 $9.5
TTurner 4 $12
DJStaeck 4 $20
BKennedy (2.0) 4 $29
*Rides considered point scoring chances


With our current bank of $885 and available prices based on the Kelly Formula the bets are :

P Knuckey $9 @ $9
D Staeck $16 @ $31


GOOD PUNTING

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